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San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins — 2026-07-24

7:10 PM ETloanDepot parkSP: Germán Márquez vs TBDMLB

Model prediction

San Diego Padres
59%
Miami Marlins
41%
Projected
Padres 4.6 - 4.3 Marlins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 84-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Marlins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

San Diego Padres
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Miami Marlins
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