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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 2026-09-22

10:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumSP: Michael King vs TBDMLBFINAL
Recap

Los Angeles Dodgers won 7-0 over San Diego Padres on 2026-09-22. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 7 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

San Diego Padres
46%
Los Angeles Dodgers
54%
Projected
Padres 4.4 - 4.5 Dodgers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 7-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1576) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Diego Padres would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

San Diego Padres
No recent games on file.
Los Angeles Dodgers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: San Diego Padres 46% / Los Angeles Dodgers 54%. Projected San Diego Padres 4.4 — 4.5 Los Angeles Dodgers.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 7-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1576) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Diego Padres would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: San Diego Padres ML at +109 at +109. Pre-game: model 49.9% vs market 45.8% implied, a +4.2pp edge.

What happened: San Diego Padres 0 @ Los Angeles Dodgers 7.

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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