Home › MLB › Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees — 2026-09-25

4:10 PM ETYankee StadiumSP: Brandon Young vs TBDMLBFINAL
Recap

New York Yankees won 6-3 over Baltimore Orioles on 2026-09-25. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Baltimore Orioles
46%
New York Yankees
54%
Projected
Orioles 4.4 - 4.5 Yankees

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1497) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Baltimore Orioles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Baltimore Orioles
No recent games on file.
New York Yankees
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Baltimore Orioles 46% / New York Yankees 54%. Projected Baltimore Orioles 4.4 — 4.5 New York Yankees.

Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 5-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1497) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Baltimore Orioles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Baltimore Orioles ML at +105 at +105. Pre-game: model 52.0% vs market 46.7% implied, a +5.4pp edge.

What happened: Baltimore Orioles 10 @ New York Yankees 2.

Bet returned +1.05u on 1u risked.

Get our daily picks in Discord
All sports. Model-backed picks with edge math + analysis. See pricing ->

Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.