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Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers — 2026-07-28

6:40 PM ETComerica ParkSP: Dean Kremer vs Troy MeltonMLBFINAL
Recap

Detroit Tigers won 14-0 over Baltimore Orioles on 2026-07-28. Margin of 14 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Baltimore Orioles
46%
Detroit Tigers
54%
Projected
Orioles 4.4 - 4.5 Tigers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 4-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1497) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Baltimore Orioles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Baltimore Orioles
No recent games on file.
Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Baltimore Orioles 46% / Detroit Tigers 54%. Projected Baltimore Orioles 4.4 — 4.5 Detroit Tigers.

Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 4-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1497) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Baltimore Orioles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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