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Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays — 2026-08-14

7:10 PM ETTropicana FieldMLB

Model prediction

Baltimore Orioles
41%
Tampa Bay Rays
59%
Projected
Orioles 4.4 - 4.5 Rays

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 40-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1497) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Baltimore Orioles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Baltimore Orioles
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Tampa Bay Rays
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