HomeMLB › Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 2026-06-20

10:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumSP: Trevor Rogers vs Yoshinobu YamamotoMLBFINAL
Recap

Los Angeles Dodgers beat Baltimore Orioles 6-5, a 1-run margin. We projected Baltimore Orioles 4.3-4.6 Los Angeles Dodgers and gave Los Angeles Dodgers a 65% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Baltimore Orioles
35%
Los Angeles Dodgers
65%
Projected
Orioles 4.3 - 4.6 Dodgers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 87-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1497) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Baltimore Orioles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Baltimore Orioles
No recent games on file.
Los Angeles Dodgers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Baltimore Orioles 35% / Los Angeles Dodgers 65%. Projected Baltimore Orioles 4.3 — 4.6 Los Angeles Dodgers.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 87-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1497) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Baltimore Orioles would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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