Baltimore Orioles beat Houston Astros 5-2, a 3-runs margin. We projected Baltimore Orioles 4.5-4.4 Houston Astros and gave Baltimore Orioles a 51% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Baltimore Orioles as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1497 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Baltimore Orioles 51% / Houston Astros 49%. Projected Baltimore Orioles 4.5 — 4.4 Houston Astros.
Our MLB model rates Baltimore Orioles as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 32-point Elo gap (1497 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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