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Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers — 2026-09-23

1:10 PM ETComerica ParkSP: Richard Lovelady vs Framber ValdezMLBFINAL
Recap

Washington Nationals won 4-2 over Detroit Tigers on 2026-09-23. Margin of 2 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Washington Nationals
43%
Detroit Tigers
57%
Projected
Nationals 4.4 - 4.5 Tigers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 27-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Washington Nationals
No recent games on file.
Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Washington Nationals 43% / Detroit Tigers 57%. Projected Washington Nationals 4.4 — 4.5 Detroit Tigers.

Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 27-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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