Washington Nationals won 3-1 over Detroit Tigers on 2026-09-22. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 27-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Washington Nationals 43% / Detroit Tigers 57%. Projected Washington Nationals 4.4 — 4.5 Detroit Tigers.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 27-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Detroit Tigers ML at -158 at -158. Pre-game: model 63.9% vs market 58.9% implied, a +5.1pp edge.
What happened: Washington Nationals 3 @ Detroit Tigers 1.
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
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