Washington Nationals beat Colorado Rockies 7-3, a 4-runs margin. We projected Washington Nationals 4.5-4.4 Colorado Rockies and gave Colorado Rockies a 51% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Colorado Rockies as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -18-point Elo gap (1455 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Washington Nationals 49% / Colorado Rockies 51%. Projected Washington Nationals 4.5 — 4.4 Colorado Rockies.
Our MLB model rates Colorado Rockies as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -18-point Elo gap (1455 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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