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Washington Nationals vs Texas Rangers — 2026-08-18

8:05 PM ETGlobe Life FieldSP: Jackson Kent vs Cal QuantrillMLBFINAL
Recap

Texas Rangers won 5-0 over Washington Nationals on 2026-08-18. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 5 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Washington Nationals
40%
Texas Rangers
60%
Projected
Nationals 4.4 - 4.5 Rangers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Washington Nationals
No recent games on file.
Texas Rangers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Washington Nationals 40% / Texas Rangers 60%. Projected Washington Nationals 4.4 — 4.5 Texas Rangers.

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 8.0 at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 57.4% vs market 50.7% implied, a +6.7pp edge.

What happened: Total: 5 (line: over 8).

Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.

Pre-game call: Texas Rangers ML at -145 at -145. Pre-game: model 61.7% vs market 58.7% implied, a +3.0pp edge.

What happened: Washington Nationals 0 @ Texas Rangers 5.

Bet returned +1.38u on 2u risked.

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