New York Mets won 4-1 over Washington Nationals on 2026-08-14. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 3 runs.
Our MLB model rates Washington Nationals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1473 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Washington Nationals 52% / New York Mets 48%. Projected Washington Nationals 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates Washington Nationals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1473 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 8.5 at -110 at -110. Pre-game: model 56.5% vs market 50.7% implied, a +5.9pp edge.
What happened: Total: 5 (line: over 8.5).
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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