St. Louis Cardinals won 5-3 over Washington Nationals on 2026-09-20. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 16-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Washington Nationals 44% / St. Louis Cardinals 56%. Projected Washington Nationals 4.4 — 4.5 St. Louis Cardinals.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 16-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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