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New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox — 2026-08-22

7:10 PM ETRate FieldSP: Christian Scott vs Luis CastilloMLBFINAL
Recap

New York Mets won 10-5 over Chicago White Sox on 2026-08-22. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 5 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New York Mets
45%
Chicago White Sox
55%
Projected
Mets 4.4 - 4.5 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago White Sox as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 8-point Elo gap (1444 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Mets
No recent games on file.
Chicago White Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New York Mets 45% / Chicago White Sox 55%. Projected New York Mets 4.4 — 4.5 Chicago White Sox.

Our MLB model rates Chicago White Sox as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 8-point Elo gap (1444 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: New York Mets ML at +104 at +104. Pre-game: model 51.4% vs market 48.3% implied, a +3.0pp edge.

What happened: New York Mets 10 @ Chicago White Sox 5.

Bet returned +1.04u on 1u risked.

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