New York Mets won 10-4 over Tampa Bay Rays on 2026-09-02. Margin of 6 runs.
Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 100-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Mets 33% / Tampa Bay Rays 67%. Projected New York Mets 4.3 — 4.6 Tampa Bay Rays.
Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 100-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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