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New York Mets vs Texas Rangers — 2026-09-23

8:05 PM ETGlobe Life FieldSP: Nolan McLean vs TBDMLBFINAL
Recap

New York Mets won 7-2 over Texas Rangers on 2026-09-23. Margin of 5 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New York Mets
35%
Texas Rangers
65%
Projected
Mets 4.3 - 4.6 Rangers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 83-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Mets
No recent games on file.
Texas Rangers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New York Mets 35% / Texas Rangers 65%. Projected New York Mets 4.3 — 4.6 Texas Rangers.

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 83-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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