New York Mets won 11-1 over Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-08-09. Margin of 10 runs.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 69%. The driver is a 113-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Mets 31% / Pittsburgh Pirates 69%. Projected New York Mets 4.3 — 4.6 Pittsburgh Pirates.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 69%. The driver is a 113-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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