New York Mets beat San Diego Padres 5-0, a 5-runs margin. We projected New York Mets 4.2-4.7 San Diego Padres and gave San Diego Padres a 72% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 72%. The driver is a 140-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Mets 28% / San Diego Padres 72%. Projected New York Mets 4.2 — 4.7 San Diego Padres.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 72%. The driver is a 140-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.