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New York Mets vs Washington Nationals — 2026-09-26

12:35 PM ETNationals ParkSP: Jonah Tong vs Connelly EarlyMLBFINAL
Recap

New York Mets won 7-1 over Washington Nationals on 2026-09-26. Margin of 6 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New York Mets
41%
Washington Nationals
59%
Projected
Mets 4.4 - 4.5 Nationals

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Washington Nationals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1473 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Mets
No recent games on file.
Washington Nationals
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New York Mets 41% / Washington Nationals 59%. Projected New York Mets 4.4 — 4.5 Washington Nationals.

Our MLB model rates Washington Nationals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1473 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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