Washington Nationals won 7-6 over New York Mets on 2026-09-25. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates Washington Nationals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1473 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Mets 41% / Washington Nationals 59%. Projected New York Mets 4.4 — 4.5 Washington Nationals.
Our MLB model rates Washington Nationals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1473 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Washington Nationals ML at -110 at -110. Pre-game: model 54.0% vs market 50.1% implied, a +3.9pp edge.
What happened: New York Mets 6 @ Washington Nationals 7.
Bet returned +0.91u on 1u risked.
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