New York Mets won 6-2 over Cleveland Guardians on 2026-08-04. Margin of 4 runs.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 66-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Mets 37% / Cleveland Guardians 63%. Projected New York Mets 4.3 — 4.6 Cleveland Guardians.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 66-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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