Our MLB model rates Milwaukee Brewers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 40-point Elo gap (1476 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 7.5 at -108 at -108. Pre-game: model 56.2% vs market 49.6% implied, a +6.6pp edge.
What happened: Total: 7 (line: under 7.5).
Bet returned +0.93u on 1u risked.
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