New York Mets beat Atlanta Braves 7-6, a 1-run margin. We projected New York Mets 4.2-4.7 Atlanta Braves and gave Atlanta Braves a 70% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 70%. The driver is a 119-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Mets 30% / Atlanta Braves 70%. Projected New York Mets 4.2 — 4.7 Atlanta Braves.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 70%. The driver is a 119-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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