HomeMLB › New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves — 2026-07-03

7:15 PM ETTruist ParkSP: Christian Scott vs Grant HolmesMLB

Model prediction

New York Mets
30%
Atlanta Braves
70%
Projected
Mets 4.2 - 4.7 Braves

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 70%. The driver is a 119-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Mets
No recent games on file.
Atlanta Braves
No recent games on file.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Under 9.0 at -105 at -105. Pre-game: model 54.3% vs market 48.9% implied, a +5.4pp edge.

What happened: Total: 8 (line: under 9).

Bet returned +0.95u on 1u risked.

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