New York Mets beat Toronto Blue Jays 3-0, a 3-runs margin. We projected New York Mets 4.4-4.5 Toronto Blue Jays and gave Toronto Blue Jays a 56% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Toronto Blue Jays as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 16-point Elo gap (1453 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Mets 44% / Toronto Blue Jays 56%. Projected New York Mets 4.4 — 4.5 Toronto Blue Jays.
Our MLB model rates Toronto Blue Jays as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 16-point Elo gap (1453 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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