Miami Marlins beat Colorado Rockies 14-3, a 11-runs margin. We projected Miami Marlins 4.5-4.4 Colorado Rockies and gave Miami Marlins a 52% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick missed.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 37-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Miami Marlins 52% / Colorado Rockies 48%. Projected Miami Marlins 4.5 — 4.4 Colorado Rockies.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 37-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Miami Marlins ML at -154 at -154. Pre-game: model 67.1% vs market 59.2% implied, a +7.9pp edge.
What happened: Miami Marlins 3 @ Colorado Rockies 6.
Bet returned -2.00u on 2u risked.
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