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Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds — 2026-08-14

6:10 PM ETGreat American Ball ParkSP: Sandy Alcantara vs Chase BurnsMLBFINAL
Recap

Cincinnati Reds won 1-0 over Miami Marlins on 2026-08-14. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Miami Marlins
43%
Cincinnati Reds
57%
Projected
Marlins 4.4 - 4.5 Reds

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cincinnati Reds as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 27-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Marlins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Miami Marlins
No recent games on file.
Cincinnati Reds
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Miami Marlins 43% / Cincinnati Reds 57%. Projected Miami Marlins 4.4 — 4.5 Cincinnati Reds.

Our MLB model rates Cincinnati Reds as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 27-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Marlins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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