Philadelphia Phillies beat Miami Marlins 8-2, a 6-runs margin. We projected Miami Marlins 4.5-4.4 Philadelphia Phillies and gave Miami Marlins a 53% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 42-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Miami Marlins 53% / Philadelphia Phillies 47%. Projected Miami Marlins 4.5 — 4.4 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 42-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.