Miami Marlins won 6-2 over New York Mets on 2026-08-01. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 4 runs.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Miami Marlins 55% / New York Mets 45%. Projected Miami Marlins 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 9.0 at -115 at -115. Pre-game: model 57.7% vs market 51.1% implied, a +6.7pp edge.
What happened: Total: 8 (line: under 9).
Bet returned +1.30u on 1.5u risked.
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