Miami Marlins won 5-2 over New York Mets on 2026-07-31. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 3 runs.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Miami Marlins 55% / New York Mets 45%. Projected Miami Marlins 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Miami Marlins ML at +104 at +104. Pre-game: model 51.9% vs market 46.9% implied, a +5.0pp edge.
What happened: Miami Marlins 5 @ New York Mets 2.
Bet returned +1.04u on 1u risked.
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