Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -3-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1492) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Marlins would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at -104 at -104. Pre-game: model 56.3% vs market 48.5% implied, a +7.8pp edge.
What happened: Total: 4 (line: under 8).
Bet returned +0.96u on 1u risked.
Pre-game call: Miami Marlins ML at -102 at -102. Pre-game: model 54.7% vs market 48.5% implied, a +6.3pp edge.
What happened: Miami Marlins 4 @ St. Louis Cardinals 0.
Bet returned +0.98u on 1u risked.
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