Detroit Tigers beat Seattle Mariners 7-3, a 4-runs margin. We projected Seattle Mariners 4.4-4.5 Detroit Tigers and gave Detroit Tigers a 55% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick missed.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 10-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Seattle Mariners 45% / Detroit Tigers 55%. Projected Seattle Mariners 4.4 — 4.5 Detroit Tigers.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 10-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Seattle Mariners ML at -122 at -122. Pre-game: model 60.5% vs market 54.9% implied, a +5.5pp edge.
What happened: Seattle Mariners 3 @ Detroit Tigers 7.
Bet returned -2.00u on 2u risked.
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