Tampa Bay Rays beat Seattle Mariners 6-1, a 5-runs margin. We projected Seattle Mariners 4.4-4.5 Tampa Bay Rays and gave Tampa Bay Rays a 60% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick pushed.
Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Seattle Mariners 40% / Tampa Bay Rays 60%. Projected Seattle Mariners 4.4 — 4.5 Tampa Bay Rays.
Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 7.0 at -108 at -108. Pre-game: model 54.9% vs market 49.6% implied, a +5.4pp edge.
What happened: Total: 7 PUSH (line: under 7).
Bet returned +0.00u.
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