HomeMLB › Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers — 2026-07-26

2:35 PM ETGlobe Life FieldSP: Logan Gilbert vs Jacob deGromMLBFINAL
Recap

Seattle Mariners beat Texas Rangers 6-4, a 2-runs margin. We projected Seattle Mariners 4.4-4.5 Texas Rangers and gave Texas Rangers a 58% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Seattle Mariners
42%
Texas Rangers
58%
Projected
Mariners 4.4 - 4.5 Rangers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 29-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.
Texas Rangers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Seattle Mariners 42% / Texas Rangers 58%. Projected Seattle Mariners 4.4 — 4.5 Texas Rangers.

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 29-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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