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Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers — 2026-07-25

7:15 PM ETGlobe Life FieldSP: Bryan Woo vs Nathan EovaldiMLBFINAL
Recap

Texas Rangers won 7-1 over Seattle Mariners on 2026-07-25. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 6 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Seattle Mariners
42%
Texas Rangers
58%
Projected
Mariners 4.4 - 4.5 Rangers
Edge vs market on Texas Rangers: +6.0%. Model basis: MLB totals 3-way blend (our + external + market).

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 29-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script with an edge of 6.0% vs the market line. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.
Texas Rangers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Seattle Mariners 42% / Texas Rangers 58%. Projected Seattle Mariners 4.4 — 4.5 Texas Rangers.

Our MLB model rates Texas Rangers as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 29-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 7.5 at -105 at -105. Pre-game: model 55.2% vs market 49.2% implied, a +6.0pp edge.

What happened: Total: 8 (line: over 7.5).

Bet returned +0.95u on 1u risked.

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