Miami Marlins beat Seattle Mariners 8-4, a 4-runs margin. We projected Seattle Mariners 4.4-4.5 Miami Marlins and gave Miami Marlins a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 1-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Seattle Mariners 46% / Miami Marlins 54%. Projected Seattle Mariners 4.4 — 4.5 Miami Marlins.
Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 1-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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