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Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 2026-07-28

10:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumSP: Luis Castillo vs TBDMLB

Model prediction

Seattle Mariners
34%
Los Angeles Dodgers
66%
Projected
Mariners 4.3 - 4.6 Dodgers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 92-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Seattle Mariners
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Los Angeles Dodgers
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