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Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers — 2026-08-20

2:10 PM ETAmerican Family FieldSP: George Kirby vs Robert GasserMLBFINAL
Recap

Milwaukee Brewers won 7-4 over Seattle Mariners on 2026-08-20. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Seattle Mariners
49%
Milwaukee Brewers
51%
Projected
Mariners 4.5 - 4.4 Brewers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Milwaukee Brewers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -14-point Elo gap (1476 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.
Milwaukee Brewers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Seattle Mariners 49% / Milwaukee Brewers 51%. Projected Seattle Mariners 4.5 — 4.4 Milwaukee Brewers.

Our MLB model rates Milwaukee Brewers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -14-point Elo gap (1476 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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