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Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays — 2026-08-28

7:15 PM ETRogers CentreMLBFINAL
Recap

Toronto Blue Jays won 8-1 over Seattle Mariners on 2026-08-28. Margin of 7 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Seattle Mariners
52%
Toronto Blue Jays
48%
Projected
Mariners 4.5 - 4.4 Jays

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Seattle Mariners as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 38-point Elo gap (1491 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.
Toronto Blue Jays
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Seattle Mariners 52% / Toronto Blue Jays 48%. Projected Seattle Mariners 4.5 — 4.4 Toronto Blue Jays.

Our MLB model rates Seattle Mariners as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 38-point Elo gap (1491 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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