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Seattle Mariners vs Athletics — 2026-09-11

9:40 PM ETSutter Health ParkSP: George Kirby vs Jeffrey SpringsMLBFINAL
Recap

Athletics won 6-5 over Seattle Mariners on 2026-09-11. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Seattle Mariners
41%
Athletics
59%
Projected
Mariners 4.4 - 4.5 Athletics

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 42-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.
Athletics
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Seattle Mariners 41% / Athletics 59%. Projected Seattle Mariners 4.4 — 4.5 Athletics.

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 42-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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