HomeMLB › Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees — 2026-06-04

1:35 PM ETYankee StadiumSP: Slade Cecconi vs Carlos RodónMLB

Model prediction

Cleveland Guardians
47%
New York Yankees
53%
Projected
Guardians 4.5 - 4.4 Yankees

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -1-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.
New York Yankees
No recent games on file.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 8.5 at -102 at -102. Pre-game: model 54.7% vs market 48.1% implied, a +6.6pp edge.

What happened: Total: 3 (line: over 8.5).

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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