Cleveland Guardians beat New York Yankees 5-4, a 1-run margin. We projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5-4.4 New York Yankees and gave New York Yankees a 53% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -1-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 47% / New York Yankees 53%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5 — 4.4 New York Yankees.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -1-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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