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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — 2026-10-08

8:00 PM ETRate FieldSP: Parker Messick vs Hagen SmithMLBFINAL
Recap

Cleveland Guardians won 9-5 over Chicago White Sox on 2026-10-08. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 4 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Cleveland Guardians
55%
Chicago White Sox
45%
Projected
Guardians 4.6 - 4.3 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.
Chicago White Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 55% / Chicago White Sox 45%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.6 — 4.3 Chicago White Sox.

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Chicago White Sox ML at -102 at -102. Pre-game: model 54.0% vs market 48.5% implied, a +5.6pp edge.

What happened: Cleveland Guardians 9 @ Chicago White Sox 5.

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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