Chicago White Sox beat Cleveland Guardians 2-1, a 1-run margin. We projected Cleveland Guardians 4.6-4.3 Chicago White Sox and gave Cleveland Guardians a 55% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 55% / Chicago White Sox 45%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.6 — 4.3 Chicago White Sox.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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