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Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers — 2026-08-13

1:10 PM ETComerica ParkSP: Parker Messick vs Keider MonteroMLBFINAL
Recap

Detroit Tigers won 3-0 over Cleveland Guardians on 2026-08-13. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Cleveland Guardians
47%
Detroit Tigers
53%
Projected
Guardians 4.5 - 4.4 Tigers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -2-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.
Detroit Tigers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 47% / Detroit Tigers 53%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5 — 4.4 Detroit Tigers.

Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -2-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at -102 at -102. Pre-game: model 54.1% vs market 48.2% implied, a +5.9pp edge.

What happened: Total: 3 (line: under 8).

Bet returned +0.98u on 1u risked.

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