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Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals — 2026-09-26

7:10 PM ETKauffman StadiumSP: Tanner Bibee vs Michael WachaMLBFINAL
Recap

Cleveland Guardians won 11-5 over Kansas City Royals on 2026-09-26. Margin of 6 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Cleveland Guardians
53%
Kansas City Royals
47%
Projected
Guardians 4.5 - 4.4 Royals

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 48-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.
Kansas City Royals
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 53% / Kansas City Royals 47%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5 — 4.4 Kansas City Royals.

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 48-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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