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Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies — 2026-08-21

8:40 PM ETCoors FieldSP: Joey Cantillo vs Tanner GordonMLBFINAL
Recap

Cleveland Guardians won 9-1 over Colorado Rockies on 2026-08-21. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 8 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Cleveland Guardians
53%
Colorado Rockies
47%
Projected
Guardians 4.5 - 4.4 Rockies

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 48-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.
Colorado Rockies
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 53% / Colorado Rockies 47%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5 — 4.4 Colorado Rockies.

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 48-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Rockies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 10.5 at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 58.1% vs market 51.4% implied, a +6.7pp edge.

What happened: Total: 10 (line: over 10.5).

Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.

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