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Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox — 2026-09-24

6:45 PM ETFenway ParkSP: Daniel Espino vs Ranger SuarezMLBFINAL
Recap

Cleveland Guardians won 1-0 over Boston Red Sox on 2026-09-24. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Cleveland Guardians
50%
Boston Red Sox
50%
Projected
Guardians 4.5 - 4.4 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 50%. The driver is a -21-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.
Boston Red Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 50% / Boston Red Sox 50%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5 — 4.4 Boston Red Sox.

Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 50%. The driver is a -21-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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