Cleveland Guardians won 3-2 over Boston Red Sox on 2026-09-22. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 50%. The driver is a -21-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 50% / Boston Red Sox 50%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5 — 4.4 Boston Red Sox.
Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 50%. The driver is a -21-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1503) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Cleveland Guardians would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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