Houston Astros beat Cleveland Guardians 2-1, a 1-run margin. We projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5-4.4 Houston Astros and gave Cleveland Guardians a 52% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 38-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 52% / Houston Astros 48%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5 — 4.4 Houston Astros.
Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 38-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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